Acting Contrary to Our Professed Beliefs
Eric
Schwitzgebel
Department
of Philosophy
eschwitz
at domain- ucr.edu
951
827 4288
January
9, 2007
Abstract:
There appears to be no
ordinary language occurrent use of “believing”.
Further, using the phrase “occurrent belief” to describe instances of
judgment can prevent us from recognizing that judgment is often insufficient
for belief. For example, someone may sincerely
judge (even know?) that all races are of equal intelligence (or that death
is not bad, or that the bridge is closed) without undergoing the broad
dispositional transformation necessary to make us comfortable ascribing her the
corresponding belief. Our
dispositions do not always fall neatly into line when we reach a judgment. Often it takes work to fully,
dispositionally believe something we occurrently judge to be the case.
Acting Contrary to Our Professed Beliefs
Eric Schwitzgebel
October 13, 2006
Contemporary philosophers of mind generally distinguish between what they call “dispositional” and “occurrent” belief – roughly, between believing as being, in general, prone to do and say certain things in certain situations and believing as entertaining and holding true a particular proposition at a particular moment. Typically, this distinction is invoked with little discussion, as though it were clear and uncontroversial (for instance, in Burge 1979; Fodor 1987; Kim 1998; Williamson 2000; just to mention a few).[1] I aim in this paper to suggest the naturalness and advisability of treating belief wholly dispositionally and abandoning talk of “occurrent belief”. Of particular interest are cases in which one’s overall pattern of behavior and reaction fail to line up neatly with one’s occurrent judgments – cases in which, one might say, we act contrary to our professed beliefs.[2]
i.
First: What is the difference between disposition and occurrence
that appears to underwrite talk about dispositional and occurrent belief? One useful way of thinking about it is the
following. An occurrence is an event – a
particular event that transpires at a particular time and place. A disposition is a proneness or tendency
to be involved, in a particular way, under particular conditions, in events of
a particular type. A vial of Morton’s
salt dissolves in
We can, if
we like, distinguish pronenesses from tendencies. Jamie did not in fact have the dispositional
property of being a Bible reader if he did not on several occasions read (some
portions of) the Bible, regardless of how prone he may have been to read
the Bible, had circumstances allowed it.
In saying he was a Bible reader, we attribute to him a (past) tendency
or habit, requiring multiple instances of fulfillment. In contrast, a vase can be fragile – can have
the dispositional property of being prone to break – even if it has never in
fact broken. The mere proneness to
break, alone, unactualized, is enough to underwrite our dispositional
ascription. Some dispositional
ascriptions don’t require multiple instances of fulfillment but still require
one instance: She bench-presses 200 pounds.
Philosophers have not always been careful about distinctions between
these types of dispositional ascription.[3]
I put my
claim about Jamie – that he read the Bible – in the past tense because the
ambiguity between dispositional and occurrent trait attributions tends to
dissolve in the present tense. We say,
dispositionally, that Jamie reads the Bible, or occurrently that he is
reading the Bible. We say,
dispositionally, that Corina runs a six-minute mile, or, occurrently,
that she is running a six-minute mile.
In the present tense, English marks the dispositional/occurrent distinction
fairly well, and better than many other languages.
Returning to
belief, then, we say, dispositionally, that Armando believes that
But we
philosophers needn’t be(-ing?) chained by grammar (especially if it’s defined
operationally by appeal to Microsoft’s grammar checker). The argument from Google doesn’t yield
apodictic metaphysics. Let’s look at the
sense. Jamie does not constantly read
the Bible. He ceases sometimes. He is a Bible reader because he has a
tendency, occasionally, to read the Bible for a while, after which he stops
reading. Likewise for Corina: When
breakfast calls, she ceases to run entirely.
If Armando has the dispositional property of believing in the
impermanence of
This
suggests, perhaps, that if we are not to overthrow common sense and grammar –
which despite my attraction to iconoclasm I think we should hesitate to do
lightly – we should embrace the idea that believing is not an event of short
duration, something that transpires briefly and is then over, like morning runs
and Bible-reading sessions. Being a
believer is not a matter of being disposed toward short bursts of belief that
quickly expire in the same way that being a runner means being disposed to go
running for a while. If believing is an
occurrence or event at all, it is one of long duration, less like the event of
running than like the event of being a runner.
ii.
It may seem that I am quibbling.
When philosophers say that someone “occurrently believes” something, I think I know more or
less what they mean. There are nearby
words with occurrent uses: “is thinking”, “is judging”; we could take occurrent
belief as roughly synonymous with those.
(But note: The occurrent use of “think” diverges considerably from the
dispositional.) Why not forgive them the
word, allow “believe” to be given an occurrent sense in technical philosophy of
mind?
Here’s the
problem. “Occurrent belief” sounds like
a species of actual belief – a species of belief in the ordinary
(dispositional) sense of the term. The phrase
invites one to suppose that the person who “occurrently believes” that
such-and-such also, thereby, believes that such-and-such in the
ordinary, proper, and preferred sense of “believes”. But occurrences of the type of mental event
most naturally interpreted as the referent of phrase “occurrent belief” – what
I would call judgments – do not entail the presence of belief
proper. The usage of the phrase
“occurrent belief” thus occludes an interesting set of phenomena, cases in
which – as I would put it – judgment is insufficient for belief. I will dedicate the remainder of this paper
to exploring such cases.
One model I
wish particularly to resist is the following.
To believe (dispositionally) that some proposition “P” is the case is to
have a representation with the content “P” stored somewhere in the mind or
brain (in some “belief box” or “file folder” or “memory store” perhaps); and to
believe P, occurrently, is somehow to bring that representation forward into
view – to bring it into “working memory” or a “central workspace” – for some
brief period.[5] Philosophers and psychologists sometimes
forget how metaphorical such talk is.
I’m sure it’s a useful metaphor in some contexts, but it inhibits
understanding the types of phenomena that interest me most in belief –
in-between cases of believing, self-deception, habit, gradual learning and
forgetting, know-how, indeterminacy, vacillation, muddlement. It’s too clean to serve as a good
model for such things.
iii.
Many Caucasians in academia sincerely profess that all races are of equal
intelligence. Yet I suppose many of
those same people would also be less quick to credit the intelligence of a
black student than a white or Asian student, feel some (perhaps suppressible)
twinge of reluctance before hiring a black person for a managerial job
requiring mental acuity, expect slightly less from a conversation with a black
custodian than a white one – and, in short, reveal through their actions a
pervasive if subtle racism. Such people,
you will perhaps agree, don’t fully and completely believe in the intellectual
equality of the races, as genuine and unreserved as their rebukes of racism may
be. Such cases needn’t involve
self-deception. One may be fully aware
of a need to reform, to overcome the racism implicit in one’s everyday
reactions.
Or: Having
been won over by the Stoics, or by pessimists, or by believers in eternal
glory, one may quite sincerely judge – either on one particular occasion or
repeatedly – that death is not bad.
Nonetheless, one may tremble before the executioner (and not just at the
anticipation of pain); one may regret the death of a good person (and not
entirely on behalf of those who have lost the benefit of her company); one may
attempt to forestall one’s own death (and not wholly from a sense of
duty). In this case, as in the racism
case, and indeed I think quite widely, one may intellectually accept a
proposition, take it unreservedly as true, and yet fail to possess the general
dispositional structure we would expect from someone who believes the
proposition endorsed.
Such cases
can be described in several ways. We
might say something like this: Juliet says she believes in the
intellectual equality of the races, but she doesn’t really – not deep
down. Kaipeng says he believes
that death isn’t bad, but he doesn’t believe it in his “heart of hearts”. In a way, I agree with these attributions:
Juliet and Kaipeng, as I’m imagining them, do avow belief in propositions they
don’t actually fully believe. But these
characterizations also suggest that there is some self- or other-deception
involved, some imperfection of sincerity, some respect in which Juliet and
Kaipeng are not fully convinced.
Certainly we can, if we wish, imagine them to be less than fully
convinced; but I don’t think we need to regard them that way. One may be absolutely, completely persuaded
of the truth of a proposition, in the sense of reaching a sincere, unequivocal,
unmitigated, unqualified, unhesitant judgment, and yet that judgment may fail
to penetrate one’s entire dispositional structure. One may find oneself, against one’s will,
unable to shuck old habits of thinking and reacting. One may even recognize in advance that these
habits will persist, to some extent, despite one’s current sincere judgment,
which rationally requires their alteration.
So maybe we
should say that Juliet and Kaipeng do fully believe, but they can’t bring
themselves consistently to act in accord with their beliefs?[6] But then are we elevating the occurrent sense
of “believe” (if there is one) over the dispositional sense? That yields only a temporary, evaporating
belief: Juliet “is believing” in the intellectual equality of the races, but
the moment this virtuous thought passes, she no longer believes. What does that leave us to say about her more
enduring state, which is probably of greater interest? Or maybe her dispositions to avow the
equality of races trump all other dispositions in the ascription of
belief? This is a dispositional approach
to belief, but one built on a very narrow base.
It may appeal to certain language-oriented analytic philosophers looking
for a simple criterion.[7] But shouldn’t belief be seen as what animates
my limbs as well as my mouth, what shows itself diversely in my actions and my
reasoning and my emotional responses, not just in my affirmation or denial of a
particular sentence?
Does Juliet
simultaneously somehow believe both propositions – the egalitarian one
and its negation – each driving the behavior that accords with it? Such a view might appeal if one is drawn to a
theory on which actions and responses must always be underwritten by beliefs
fully possessed. But barring that
dubious theory, I see little to recommend this approach. Certainly in everyday life we do not say:
Juliet fully and completely believes both that the races are intellectually
equal and that they are not intellectually equal. It’s hard to know what to make of such an
attribution. Maybe we can say that part
of her believes one and part believes the other, but there are serious
problems with taking such a division literally.
Does Juliet
shift between belief in one proposition and belief in the other? Then what do we say when she is engaged in
some neutral task to which race is irrelevant?
How about in a single moment, when she is both having a racist
reaction and thinking to herself that the races are intellectually equal?
In cases
like Juliet’s, we should resist the temptation to make punctate, yes-or-no
attributions. While she does not fully believe,
neither will it do simply to say that she fails to believe. She is somewhere in between. Her dispositions are divided, and our
attribution must be nuanced. Why should
we expect, anyway, simple, punctate models of cognition always to work smoothly,
to be anything other than fallible simplifications of the richly complex
structure of the mind?
iv.
In conversation, John Campbell once challenged the broad-based,
dispositional approach to belief I am now recommending by questioning the
plausibility of the vast number of dispositions associated with any one belief
suddenly changing, “all in a twinkling”, upon receipt of a small bit of new
information. I responded that such
change was not at all implausible: After all, a vast number of dispositions change,
all in a twinkling, on any physical transformation. Pour water into a glass. Suddenly the glass reflects light
differently, is less prone to tip, will more readily dent and stain the papers
it sits on, will extinguish fire, will react differently to cold, will attract
a thirsty person, will not safely hold a paper airplane – cut your dispositions
finely enough and you’ll discover that an infinite number have changed. No law requires a separate expenditure of
energy for each dispositional shift.
However, I
now think that response was too simple. Sometimes
all, or practically all, of the dispositions appropriate to a belief arise at
once, upon formation of the corresponding judgment. When I learn that
Suppose I
sincerely and whole-heartedly endorse a new (to me) philosophical view – that
moral claims cannot literally be true or false (to take an example of a
proposition I have in fact tried to believe).
The arguments of Ayer and Hare win my unreserved assent; the opposing
view seems mere hokum. Later, I find
myself implicitly assuming that moral claims do have truth-value, both in
everyday interactions and in my immediate responses to philosophical
arguments. It’s not that I doubt my new
position – I fully endorse it, still, when it’s recalled to me – it’s just that
old, deep habits of thinking are not overthrown in a day. Do I believe that moral claims have no
truth-value, then, when listening to an ethics lecture I innerly inveigh
against the speaker’s “false” moral claims?
People won’t misunderstand too badly if we say I do still believe. However, I think the more careful observer
will refrain from the punctate attribution.
My case is not so different from Juliet’s.
A homier
example: Ben learns (and occurrently judges) that a bridge he normally takes to
work is closed for the month and he’ll have to take a different route. The next day he finds himself on the old
route, or he neglects to consider that he will be driving past the dry cleaners,
or doesn’t take into account the extra commute time. In these neglectful moments, does he believe
the bridge is closed? Here are two
things it would be natural for him to say, in retrospect: “I knew the bridge
was closed” and “I forgot the bridge was closed”. (He may lower his brow with the first
statement, raise it with the second.)
This juxtaposition may seem strange if you were inclined to think that
once someone forgets something she no longer knows it. However we sort that issue out, though
(perhaps Ben didn’t “really” forget?), I find no unequivocal ordinary-language
impulse either toward ascribing or denying Ben the belief that the bridge is
closed, in his moments of forgetfulness.
Perhaps this sets me free to say, or even supports my saying, that he
neither quite believes nor quite fails to believe. Pre-existing dispositions aligned with the
old state of affairs were so pervasive and ingrained that a single act of
judgment was insufficient to unseat them completely.
Many
philosophers say that “S knows that P” implies “S believes that P”.[8] Yes, I have just denied that. Attachment to that hoary implication may
impel you to insist that Ben believes the bridge is closed. Why, I wonder, don’t I myself feel troubled
by this? Maybe the key here is in seeing
knowledge as a capacity and belief as a tendency.[9] One can have the capacity without the
tendency.
How do cases
of swift dispositional alignment differ from the others? That’s an empirical question, but I’d guess
that judgments narrow in their application, comfortable and expected,
important, striking, well matched with pre-existing habits and predispositions,
may be more swiftly accommodated into one’s dispositional structure than
judgments broad in application, uncomfortable, unexpected, unimportant,
inconsiderable, and misaligned with pre-existing habits and inclinations. This seems to me eminently worth
exploring. If you want to pursue this
and have some undergraduates to run, drop me a line!
v.
But now have I committed myself to saying that people don’t believe – or
don’t fully believe – things that they’re prone quickly to forget? At a party, I am introduced to Jerry. I will forget his name in a minute. But for at least a moment after we are
introduced, as his “Hi, I’m Jerry!” echoes through my brain, don’t I fully and
completely believe that his name is Jerry?
Doesn’t Ben, for that matter, fully and completely believe that the
bridge is closed the moment he learns of its closure (and then again multiple
times later, when he reminds himself)?
Don’t we all, indeed, form slews of micro-beliefs, forgotten in an
instant, in our everyday coping with the world – about (for example) the
positions of cars and hazards around us as we drive down the road?
Dispositions
can be fleeting, can come and go. Twigs
are fragile when frozen. Francie is
prone to snap at her husband when drinking her morning coffee. For just a few seconds, my computer is in a
state such that it would crash if I pressed the space bar. We may distinguish between such passing
pronenesses, and the corresponding occurrences: The twig needn’t actually
break, Francie needn’t snap, the computer needn’t crash. Perhaps we can say that I likewise
momentarily believe that that guy’s name is Jerry, and that Julia momentarily
believes that there’s a red car to the right.
For a minute, our dispositions are all in line. They just don’t stay that way. What we have in these cases, perhaps, is not tardy
dispositional alignment but temporary alignment: the dispositions change
quickly enough, but they won’t stay put.
In the case of the red car to the right, such ephemerality might be a
good thing. Maybe my problem with
retaining Jerry’s name is that I’m negotiating the party a bit too much like I
negotiate a roadway, coping with near-term hazards and opportunities rather
than cultivating long-term knowledge.
But should
we dignify such momentary micro-beliefs with the term ‘belief’? Consider the “Jerry” case. Maybe we should break to some extent from
(what I take to be) folk psychology and ordinary speech and deny me full belief
even as I say “Hi, Jerry!” In some
sense, it seems, I am not even in that moment disposed to respond to him as
Jerry, attribute him that name, in a relevantly broad range of situations.
A
dispositional approach to belief can allow for – indeed explain – both the
belief-attributing and the belief-denying inclinations here. The key is in the interpretation of the
relevant counterfactual conditionals.
Consider the following disposition (proneness): If down in the hotel
lobby, someone were to ask me Jerry’s name (pointing to him across the room),
the right answer would strike me. Now
consider: Do I have that disposition the moment I say “Hi, Jerry!” at
the party? It depends on what one loads
into the antecedent of the conditional.
If we assume my state of mind in the lobby to be very much as it is now,
then yes. “Jerry” is big in my mind now;
it is big in my mind in the counterfactual situation. If, on the other hand, if we don’t hold the
centrality of Jerry constant across the counterfactual situations – if we
assume that my mind has returned to a more neutral, less Jerry-ish state, then
no. I am not disposed correctly to
recall his name in the lobby.
Since we
have considerable leeway in evaluating counterfactual conditionals, we have
corresponding leeway in the ascription of pronenesses.[10] I hesitate to say, then, that there is a
definite fact of the matter, at the moment I greet Jerry, whether I have the
panoply of dispositions necessary to underwrite genuine belief.
Let it be a
choice of temperament, then, or a practical decision guided by the interests
driving the ascription or denial of belief in the particular situation. For example, if this so-called “Jerry” is an
impostor (Dan Dennett, say, pretending to be Jerry Fodor), and you are wondering
with a colleague whether I’m onto Dennett’s tricks – if the central issue is
one of truthfulness – then I see no great infelicity in simply saying that the
possibility of malefaction had not crossed my mind: I believed him when he said
he name was “Jerry”. On the other hand,
if it’s the real Jerry in the flesh and you are principally concerned not about
deception but about my long-term dispositions – about whether the belief has
“sunk in” – you may wish to describe my cognitive situation in a more nuanced
way.
Looking
back, it seems we can similarly weigh matters of relevance and nuance,
simplification versus articulation, in describing Ben’s forgetfulness of
course, but also in all the cases I have sketched. Since I have mostly characterized those cases
as not full belief, you will guess which way my own temperament
lies. As a general matter, I think the
more cautious and complete approach to belief ascription involves standing back
from the moment and describing the arc of pronenesses, and the splintering
reactions, as fully as is practical.
Furthermore,
too ready an ascription of belief can, in some cases, be hazardous moral
psychology, encouraging too sanguine a view of our virtue and
self-knowledge. A simplistic approach to
belief may invite Juliet to the conclusion that she is not a racist, or the
unconsciously sadistic professor to the conclusion that he believes what he
says he believes about the respect due to graduate students. It risks obscuring the complex relation
between belief, reflection, self-knowledge, and behavior in just those morally
important domains where we’re prone to sustain illusions about ourselves.
vi.
In any case, it is evident that many of our most important beliefs change
only incompletely, transiently, or gradually.
Sometimes, we have to work to bring our overall dispositional
structure in line with our judgments.
This isn’t a kind of work that many of us like, and it’s a kind of work
that it may be harder to see the need of on a representationalist drop-the-belief-into-the-box
model of judgment and understanding.
It’s very easy, indeed very pleasant, to say “I believe in God” or “I
think my marriage is worth the effort of preserving” but to live these
beliefs, to shape one’s tendencies and pronenesses so that it is accurate to
say that one (in any steady, meaningful way) really believes these
things, is no simple, effortless matter.
Genuine belief does not always flow passively from sincere
judgment. Most English speakers, and
most English-speaking philosophers, do not I think fully appreciate the force
of this, in part due to our too-linguistic, too-avowal-oriented view of belief
– a myopia reflected in and reinforced by philosophers’ unhappy tendency to
refer to judgments as “occurrent beliefs”.
To profess
belief in God, or the value of one’s marriage, or the unobjectionableness of
death, is not entirely – perhaps not even primarily – a matter of reporting on
some pre-existing inner state or expressing some fully formed belief about the
world. It’s commissive, entailing
a certain amount of forward-looking self-regulation. It’s partly prospective, something a speaker
must work to make true, contingent in part on the speaker’s ongoing
commitment to corral contrary inclinations.
This commissive, prospective element can tinge the utterances with
anxiety: You have to live up to them.[11]
References:
Adler, Jonathan E. (2002). Beliefs own ethics.
Armstrong, D.M. (1973). Belief, truth, and knowledge.
Audi, Robert (1994). Dispositional beliefs and dispositions to
believe. Noûs 28, 419-434.
Burge,
Carnap, Rudolf (1947/1956). Meaning and necessity.
de Sousa, Ronald B. (1971). How to give a piece of your mind: or, the
logic of belief and assent. Review of
Metaphysics 25, 52-79.
Fara, Michael (2005). Dispositions and habituals. Nous 39, 43-82.
Fodor, Jerry A. (1987). Psychosemantics.
Frankish, Keith (2004). Mind and supermind.
Kim, Jaegwon (1998). Philosophy of mind.
Lawlor, Krista (2006). Knowing what one believes. Oral presentation, U.C. Riverside.
Lehrer, Keith (2000). Theory of knowledge, 2nd ed.
Lycan, William G. (1986). Tacit belief.
In R. J. Bogdan, ed., Belief.
Martin, C.B. (1994). Dispositions and conditionals. Philosophical Quarterly 44, 1-8.
Mumford, Stephen (1998). Dispositions.
Nichols, Shaun, and Stich, Stephen P.
(2003). Mindreading.
Price, H.H. (1969). Belief.
Prior,
Ryle, Gilbert (1949). The concept of mind.
Schwitzgebel, Eric (2001). In-between believing. Philosophical Quarterly 51, 76-82.
Schwitzgebel, Eric (2002). A phenomenal, dispositional account of
belief. Nous 36, 249-275.
Sellars, Wilfrid (1969). Language as thought and as
communication. Philosophy &
Phenomenological Research 29, 506-527.
Shah, Nishi, and J. David Velleman
(2005). Doxastic deliberation. Philosophical Reivew 114, 497-534.
Williamson, Timothy (2000). Knowledge and its limits.
[1] More nuanced treatments of
the distinction include Price 1969; Armstrong 1973; Audi 1994. For some arguments, of course, a relatively
rough and unreflective use of this distinction may be good enough.
[2] Kent Bach (1981) also
rejects the idea of “occurrent belief”, contrasting belief and thinking much as
I contrast belief and judging. See also,
recently, Frankish 2004; Shah and Velleman 2005; and Lawlor 2006. Despite appearances, the position advocated
in this paper may also be consistent with Adler (2002), if one reads Adler as
meaning by “belief” more or less what I mean by “judgment” or “disposition to
judge”. In fact, clearly distinguishing
broad-based dispositional beliefs from occurrent judgments may make an
Adler-like view more attractive.
[3] My discussion here owes
much to Ryle’s (1949) nuanced treatment of the distinction between dispositions
and occurrences. He emphasizes, among
other things, a distinction between “capacities” and “tendencies” which is
similar to, though not identical with, the distinction I draw here between
pronenesses and tendencies. Fara (2005)
is also helpfully nuanced on such matters.
[4] For a psychological example,
we might compare fear. Consider: “Julia
fears snakes”. Though it is awkward to
say that Julia “is fearing” the snake she now presently sees, we can naturally
say, occurrently, that she “is feeling fear” or “is afraid”. The dispositional attribution of fear of
snakes to Julia may be tantamount to attributing a tendency toward short
episodes of occurrent fearing. Thus, it
may structurally parallel the dispositional attribution of being a runner or
Bible reader. Once the snake is gone,
Julia ceases feeling fear, ceases being afraid, but still fears snakes in the
dispositional sense. Other attributions
of fear, however, such as “Armando fears that a nuclear weapon may be detonated
in a large American city within the next fifty years” may be relatively unconnected
to particular episodes of feeling afraid, may be more revealed in Armando’s
answers to certain questions, his decisions about where to live, his attitudes
toward homeland security, etc.
Attributions of this latter sort more closely parallel attributions of
belief, as I see it.
[5] Few leading philosophers
would accept exactly this schematic characterization – it is overly
simple – but quite a few would accept something in the near vicinity. For example: Lycan 1986; Fodor 1987; Nichols
and Stich 2003.
[6] I hope it is evident that I
do not intend the phrase “fully believe” in this essay to imply having degree
of confidence p = 1 in the Bayesian sense.
I intend full belief rather as a contrast to being in an “in-between”
state of belief, a state in which is it is neither entirely accurate to say one
believes nor entirely accurate to say one fails to believe. Having an intermediate degree of confidence
is only one way of being in an in-between state of belief; and conversely full
belief may be compatible with something less that absolute certainty in one’s
betting behavior. (For this reason, I
think the common Bayesian practice is misleading in using the phrase “degree of
belief” to refer to degree of confidence.)
I discuss in-between cases of belief at some length in Schwitzgebel
(2001, 2002).
[7] Carnap (1947/1956), Sellars
(1969), and de Sousa (1971) are among those who express temptation toward such
a view – though whether they entirely yield to the temptation is another
question.
[8] For discussion of this
issue, see Armstrong (1973), Lehrer (2000), and Williamson (2000). I am also tempted to describe Juliet as
knowing but not believing P if, for example, P has been proven to her by
well-founded studies whose results she endorses and is willing to defend. However, I agree that in neither of these
cases does ordinary intuition clearly favor ascribing knowledge without
belief.
[9] I owe this suggestion to David Hunter.
[10] My emphasis on counterfactuals here shouldn’t be
taken necessarily as an endorsement of a counterfactual analysis of the
metaphysics of dispositions. On that
issue see, for example, Prior (1985), Martin (1994), Mumford (1998), and Fara
(2005).
[11] My thoughts on this topic
have been much informed by conversations with Tori McGeer and Ted Preston. The views expressed (committed to?) here are
not, I hope, entirely unlike the views found in some of their work (esp. McGeer
1996; McGeer and Pettit 2002;